RE: You Can't Disprove a Miracle
March 11, 2016 at 1:42 pm
(This post was last modified: March 11, 2016 at 1:42 pm by SteveII.)
(March 11, 2016 at 12:46 pm)Old Baby Wrote: Word games.
mir·a·cle
ˈmirək(ə)l/
noun
noun: miracle; plural noun: miracles
a surprising and welcome event that is not explicable by natural or scientific laws and is therefore considered to be the work of a divine agency.
Show evidence for one miracle. One.
Okay, answer you and Rhythm together...
My brother-in-law when a child had a brain tumor. Causing seizureres. In hospital for surgery. New CT scan taken to map surgery. No tumor. Seizures stopped. Father-in-law was a minister and brother-in-law had literally hundreds of people praying.
Pr(H/K) x Pr(E/H&K)
Pr(H/E&K) = ----------------------------------------
Pr(E/K)
It is helpful to think of H as the hypothesis at issue, K as the background knowledge, and E as the new evidence. Pr(H/K&E) and Pr(H/ K) are called, respectively, the posterior and priorprobability of H. Pr(E/ H&K) is called the likelihood of H; it is a measure of how well H explains E. Pr(E/K) is variously called the prior likelihood or the expectancy of E; it is a measure of how surprising the new evidence E is.
(H) A miracle removed tumor (hypothesis)
(K) Tumors do not disappear between CT scans in a matter of weeks (background knowledge)
(E) Tumor gone. Symptoms gone (evidence)
The probability of H given K (LOW) multiplied by how well H explains E (HIGH)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Expectancy of E (LOW)
Probability is high that this was a miracle.