(March 15, 2016 at 5:19 pm)SteveII Wrote:Have a go at the handshake thread.(March 15, 2016 at 5:03 pm)Rhythm Wrote: I've pointed it out to you repeatedly. The value you have set at 90% (previously "high") is a value for the probability of a miracle. In -your- words, "jesus heals". You see, I didn't make it so, you did....repeatedly.
Would you like to change that? Not the value, I mean...it doesn;t matter what you set the value at. You'll need to change your definition of the variable.
Sorry if the earlier effort was not clear.
The 90% value P(E/H) is not the probability of a miracle. It is the probability that we would see E if H were true.
P(E/H) x P(H)
P(H/E) = ------------------------------
P(E)
H = Hypothesis, man was healed by Jesus
E = man walks, including timing and context
P(H/E) - probability of H given E
P(E/H) - probability of E given the hypothesis that Jesus can heal = .90
P(H) - probability that Jesus can heal cripple before E was observed = .01
P(E) - likelihood that E happened without H (call it "natural causes") = .05
.9 x .01
18% = ----------------
.05
Our server costs ~$56 per month to run. Please consider donating or becoming a Patron to help keep the site running. Help us gain new members by following us on Twitter and liking our page on Facebook!
Current time: June 5, 2024, 10:42 am
Thread Rating:
You Can't Disprove a Miracle
|
|
« Next Oldest | Next Newest »
|
Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)