(May 5, 2016 at 9:23 am)Drich Wrote:(April 30, 2016 at 9:30 pm)Jenny A Wrote: You think Trump has a shot at New York. That's silly. It isn't a swing state. It's blue as blue can be. That Trump overwhelming took the very few republicans in it means nothing. The vast majority of its voters are democrat and will vote that way. Clinton cleaned up there. Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Pennsylvania (perhaps), New Hampshire (perhaps) might go red but not all of them will. That's not enough. And Trump might actually make red as red as red can be Utah vote democrat. They really don't like him there. For a republican that kind of dislike in Utah is hard to achieve.
You are right that state polls not national ones matter. But Trump fares worse with the electorial college than nationally. He needs Florida and he's already lost it. He's Goldwater all over again.
There is one national demographic that does matter, women. We, and I do mean we, don't just not like him, it's visceral. I don't like H Clinton but to avoid Trump, I'll vote for her. And there are more female than male voters.
when did Trump lose Florida? All I see on the news is how Trump has pushed recorded turnouts in Fl, the Governor is on the short list to be VP, more republicans turned out to vote for trump than the dems that voted for Obama in the general election.
He's pretty much already lost it to Clinton. Latest poll shows her up 13 points there climbing from 8 points last month. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/...-5635.html
If there is a god, I want to believe that there is a god. If there is not a god, I want to believe that there is no god.
