(April 3, 2022 at 10:51 am)Angrboda Wrote: Let's examine four scenarios:
a) Russia uses a nuke to level an important Ukrainian city?
b) Russia uses a nuke on an eastern NATO country, let's assume Poland? (can be tactical nukes)
c) Russia or China uses a nuke to level a lower population U.S. city as a warning?
d) Russia begins using tactical nukes indiscriminately in Ukraine?
Are all of these likely to escalate into total nuclear annihilation, or is it more likely one side or the other will halt the escalation.
I think the most likely outcome to any of those would be a tit-for-tat exchange of nukes, followed by a de-escalation - Russia nukes Gdańsk, NATO nukes Belgorod, then it’s done.
No one wants a full-scale nuclear war. Not Putin, not Kim, not Xi. No one. Why? Because it’s bad for business.
Boru
‘I can’t be having with this.’ - Esmeralda Weatherwax