Our server costs ~$56 per month to run. Please consider donating or becoming a Patron to help keep the site running. Help us gain new members by following us on Twitter and liking our page on Facebook!
Current time: April 19, 2024, 3:56 pm

Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Fusion?
#11
RE: Fusion?
(August 25, 2015 at 12:45 pm)Alex K Wrote: Sounds like some guys seeded some hype in order to boost funding if you ask me. Wasn't Lockheed also having a break-through a year ago?

Con men are always making grand claims.  I will believe in fusion power plants when they build one that actually works.  Until then, I will presume them to be as dumb as Utah scientists.  The saying that there is a sucker born every minute is wrong.  The birth rate is higher than that.

"A wise man ... proportions his belief to the evidence."
— David Hume, An Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding, Section X, Part I.
Reply
#12
RE: Fusion?
Quote: But it's the worst kind of energy in a sense that we the people should do something to help the scientists make it happen.

Far too many people think evolution is wrong and they are here because some fucking 'god' played in the dirt.  You have to write them off.
Reply
#13
RE: Fusion?
(August 26, 2015 at 9:03 pm)Fake Messiah Wrote:
(August 25, 2015 at 2:35 pm)pocaracas Wrote: According to an estimate I once saw, fusion using Deuterium and Tritium (the two "best" hydrogen isotopes for the task) can supply mankind with electricity for about 2000 years, considering we extract all the deuterium from sea water and the tritium from lithium.
After that, the world's oceans will be depleted of deuterium and the next closest source of it is.... the sun (or maybe Europa).

Actually Earth's fusion resources are more than a million times greater than all other energy reserves put together. Even at ten times our current rate of consumption, there is enough fusion fuel on this planet (alone) to power our civilization for nearly a billion years.
Well, I was working from memory... let's try to do the math, then! Wink

http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/Curren...ion-Power/
"A 1 GW (electric) fusion plant will need about 100 kg deuterium and 3 tons of natural lithium to operate for a whole year, generating about 7 billion kWh. "

"30 grams per cubic metre"

http://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/oceanwater.html
"According to the U.S. Geological Survey, there are over 332,519,000 cubic miles of water on the planet. (=1.38599965 × 10^18 cubic meters)"

http://www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/ie...&unit=BKWH
20000 billion kWh per year - electricity generation in the world


- How much deuterium do we need per year, today?
20000 / 7 * 100 = 285714 kg
-How much seawater must be filtered per year?
285714 / 0.03 = 9.5 × 10^6 cubic metres

- How many years of water are there?
1.38599965 × 10^18 / 9.5 × 10^6 = 145 529 963 250 years


So, that makes the nice number of 145 billion years.... ok, I guess there's enough to outlast the sun's demise! Wink

Maybe the estimation I heard was concerning lithium....

I've also heard that ITER alone will use up about half the world's helium stock so cool the massive super-conductive coils... but fusion generates helium, so maybe we can restock on that....

(August 26, 2015 at 9:03 pm)Fake Messiah Wrote: Even if you don't want nuclear fusion we should push our governments to substitute oil and coal with something clean for which there already are solutions by scientists with existing technology, because if we don't do anything we may likely be the last generation of humans living on this planet.

But I do want... that's part of the reason I'm working in the field! Wink
Reply
#14
RE: Fusion?
(August 27, 2015 at 9:18 am)pocaracas Wrote: I've also heard that ITER alone will use up about half the world's helium stock so cool the massive super-conductive coils... but fusion generates helium, so maybe we can restock on that....
ITER will consume is all supply of Earth's tritium (H3 or T for short) because it does not occur naturally since it "dies" after 12 years and a reactor may use up 100 kg per year.

ITER will need lots of helium but not that much. First of all helium is not a rare gas if we can afford to fill the world’s balloons with it. Actually, balloons account for only 16% of helium use. Already cooling of semiconductors accounts for 33%, and the rest is used for industrial and scientific purposes. It is estimated that ITER will lose 48 tonnes of helium a year, about 0.15% of the world’s current consumption. But if eventually fusion produces a third of the world’s power, those reactors would need the world’s supply of helium for a whole year just to start up. At some point the helium losses, say, 10% of the inventory, would exceed what comes from natural gas. Although helium is one of the products of the D–T reaction this “ash” is a negligible contribution to the total demand.

In 1986, compounds were discovered that became superconducting at a critical temperature as high as 30 K. Since then, research to find better materials has been intense. The goal was to get the critical temperature above 77 K, the point at which nitrogen becomes liquid. Liquid nitrogen is much, much cheaper and easier to produce than liquid helium, which is liquid below 4 K. The 73°C difference between 77 and 4 K does not seem much. We encounter such a change every time we boil a cup of coffee. However, since one can never go below absolute zero, it is the distance from absolute zero that is important. Seventy-seven kelvin is 19 times farther from 0 K than is 4 K; and, of course, there is no shortage of nitrogen. The goal has already been achieved; three superconductors have been found that work at liquid nitrogen temperatures. The record as of 2009 is 135 K, well above 77 K. Typically, the compound is complicated: HgBa2Ca2Cu3Ox. Until searches can be made by computer, finding new compounds will be slow; but it is a reasonable expectation that large-scale production of a high-temperature superconductor will be possible by the time DEMO is built.

Also in advanced designs, the helium is eliminated, resulting in a self-cooled lithium lead breeding blanket, in which Pb-Li does all the cooling. It may take a lot of power to pump Pb-Li fast against the drag by the magnetic field. The possibility also depends on the development of the wonder-material SiC/SiC, which can operate at 1,000°C and contain a higher temperature fluid than other materials.


What is ITER designed to do? The primary goal is to produce, for the first time, a “burning” plasma. That is, a plasma that will keep itself hot once it has been heated to several hundred million degrees.
Q value of at least 5 is needed for burning or ignition. To get a safety margin, ITER is designed to produce a Q of 10, where Q is the ratio of energy out of the plasma to the energy put into the plasma from external sources. Q = 1 is scientific breakeven (energy in equals total energy out). So far JET is the best but only Q=0.65.

However, tokamaks may not be the machines ultimately chosen for fusion reactors. Stellarators, which do not need large currents, do not suffer from disruptions. The reason that tokamaks are now prevalent is that they gave the best initial results, and there has not been enough money to study other toruses to the same extent.

(August 27, 2015 at 9:18 am)pocaracas Wrote: So, that makes the nice number of 145 billion years.... ok, I guess there's enough to outlast the sun's demise! Wink

Maybe the estimation I heard was concerning lithium....

You probably mixed it up with future designs of fusion reactors. Right now, we are trying to fuse deuterium (D) with tritium (T) to get helium plus an extra neutron. That neutron carries away most of the energy generated, but it also causes some radioactivity, but much less than in fission. For the future, there are other advanced reactions involving helium-3 (He3), lithium, or boron which are completely free of radioactivity. Note that lithium and boron are abundant and safe elements on earth. Indeed some day the inhabitants of this planet will look back at the clumsy magnetic bottle, the D–T tokamak. The tokamak will seem like an old IBM Selectric typewriter with font balls compared to Microsoft Word on a 2-GHz notebook computer. The deuterium–tritium reaction is a terrible fusion reaction, but we have to start with it because it is easy to ignite. These future magnetic bottles will hold denser, hotter plasma for a longer time.  Then we can use reactions that do not produce the intense flux of energetic neutrons that plagues D–T reactors.
There is better reaction but for now more complicated the D-He3 has sizeable reactivity at low temperature and produces no neutrons and this is an almost clean reaction. Deuterium - helium3 reaction is also considered to have smaller reactors so that some people speculate we could make very fast spaceships on nuclear fusion that could take us to the nearest stars in only few decades. But the main problem is He3 does not occur naturally on Earth. It can, however, be mined on the moon. It is estimated that there are a billion tons of He3 just under the surface of the moon, enough to supply the world for 1,000 years if it could be brought down here. And when it comes to spaceships it is calculated that they could be refueled on some gas giant planets like Saturn that also have lots of He3.

(August 26, 2015 at 11:17 pm)Minimalist Wrote: Far too many people think evolution is wrong and they are here because some fucking 'god' played in the dirt.  You have to write them off.
Maybe they are the first people to revolt on streets since pope and imams told them to fight against global warming. It seems that atheists are those that need to wake up from their inertness. Just imagine one day atheists and theists all joined together on streets, like bunch of gays once did protesting for cure of AIDS, but now for their governments to provide for pollution free world in which there is no mass murder of people by burning oil, coal and gas.
teachings of the Bible are so muddled and self-contradictory that it was possible for Christians to happily burn heretics alive for five long centuries. It was even possible for the most venerated patriarchs of the Church, like St. Augustine and St. Thomas Aquinas, to conclude that heretics should be tortured (Augustine) or killed outright (Aquinas). Martin Luther and John Calvin advocated the wholesale murder of heretics, apostates, Jews, and witches. - Sam Harris, "Letter To A Christian Nation"
Reply
#15
RE: Fusion?
Obligatory post. 

[Image: 448779e259f0ab7e881cd635a1d9e6f4.jpg]
[Image: bbb59Ce.gif]

(September 17, 2015 at 4:04 pm)Parkers Tan Wrote: I make change in the coin tendered. If you want courteous treatment, behave courteously. Preaching at me and calling me immoral is not courteous behavior.
Reply
#16
RE: Fusion?
We already HAVE a fully functional fusion reactor.

[Image: sun-photo-solar-filament-101118-02.jpg?1294094311]

Boru
‘But it does me no injury for my neighbour to say there are twenty gods or no gods. It neither picks my pocket nor breaks my leg.’ - Thomas Jefferson
Reply
#17
RE: Fusion?
Impressive description Fake Messiah. Smile
Reply
#18
RE: Fusion?
(August 28, 2015 at 4:36 am)BrianSoddingBoru4 Wrote: We already HAVE a fully functional fusion reactor.

[Image: sun-photo-solar-filament-101118-02.jpg?1294094311]

Boru

Indeed.... but how to harness all that power?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dyson_sphere
Reply
#19
RE: Fusion?
(August 28, 2015 at 4:36 am)BrianSoddingBoru4 Wrote: We already HAVE a fully functional fusion reactor.

[Image: sun-photo-solar-filament-101118-02.jpg?1294094311]

Boru

Hey listen, I agree. We don't have to wait for nuclear fusion: for instance in the year 2013 Stanford University scientist Mark Jacobson has developed a 50-state roadmap for transforming the United States from dependence on fossil fuels to 100 percent renewable energy by 2050 (or even year 2030?).
From an article:

The motivation for the 50-state plan, he said, is to address the negative impacts on climate and human health from widespread use of coal, oil and natural gas. Replacing these fossil fuels with clean technologies would significantly reduce carbon dioxide emissions that contribute to global warming and spare the lives of an estimated 59,000 Americans who die from exposure to air pollution annually, he said.

Here's the webpage with individual state and plan for clean energy
http://thesolutionsproject.org/infographic/

So there is a solution but what's the wait? For the new visionary president maybe? Wasn't Obama supposed to be that and yet he didn't do shit. He even approved the Arctic drilling that is happening now, that could be really devastating if there is spilling since it's far away and many icebergs floating around and that is in good conditions, but if it happens in winter - forget it! Yeah maybe Trump or Ted Cruz save us, or we have to save ourselves.
teachings of the Bible are so muddled and self-contradictory that it was possible for Christians to happily burn heretics alive for five long centuries. It was even possible for the most venerated patriarchs of the Church, like St. Augustine and St. Thomas Aquinas, to conclude that heretics should be tortured (Augustine) or killed outright (Aquinas). Martin Luther and John Calvin advocated the wholesale murder of heretics, apostates, Jews, and witches. - Sam Harris, "Letter To A Christian Nation"
Reply
#20
RE: Fusion?
(August 28, 2015 at 4:46 am)pocaracas Wrote:
(August 28, 2015 at 4:36 am)BrianSoddingBoru4 Wrote: We already HAVE a fully functional fusion reactor.

[Image: sun-photo-solar-filament-101118-02.jpg?1294094311]

Boru

Indeed.... but how to harness all that power?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dyson_sphere

The grand thing is, we don't have to harness all of it. Attend:

The sun produces (roughly) 3.8 x 10^27 joules of energy every second. World energy consumption is on the close order of 6 x 10^20 joules per year. Obviously a lot of what the sun produces is (from our perspective) wasted - only around 2 billionths of what the sun produces gets to us. But that translates into the Earth receiving about as much energy every second as the world uses in a year.

Rounding down, there are about 30 million seconds in a year. Thus, if we converted 1/30 000 000th of available sunlight into usable power every year, we'd be set until the dear old Sol burns herself out (not that we're going to last that long, anyroad).

We don't know how to make fusion workable. We don't know how to build Dyson Spheres (or even Niven-esque Ringworlds). But we DO know how to turn sunlight into electricity. Solar powering our planet won't be easy, but it is really just a problem of scale. The others are problems that are possibly insoluble from a technological standpoint.

Boru
‘But it does me no injury for my neighbour to say there are twenty gods or no gods. It neither picks my pocket nor breaks my leg.’ - Thomas Jefferson
Reply



Possibly Related Threads...
Thread Author Replies Views Last Post
  Fusion Breakthrough? Minimalist 19 2860 October 18, 2014 at 11:18 am
Last Post: Minimalist



Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)