How much influence does he have?

[HappySkeptic]

I can think of 3 possibilities

1. God's will is done because of predestination.
   
2. God's will is done because of intervention.
   
3. God's will isn't necessarily done.
   

I think the Church combines these in some sort of confusing mix.  They believe that the ultimate purpose of there being a new heaven and earth populated only with good people will happen because of 1 and 2, but that for the more day-to-day, 3 is the norm.