RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
March 8, 2016 at 10:08 pm
(This post was last modified: March 8, 2016 at 10:08 pm by Jenny A.)
(March 8, 2016 at 10:03 pm)Excited Penguin Wrote: You can find me any proof you like, it still doesn't make sense that probability helps you in that scenario. I will say it's all luck since you can't explain it.
As I already said, the fact that the moderator takes out all the bad variants but for one doesn't tell you anything about whether you made the right decision or not. Just the fact that he takes out all the other doors, doesn't mean that he made the unchosen left variant any more plausible than the one you already chose. And that's because no matter if you were wrong or right at first he was going to take out the same number of doors after you made your choice.
Translation: there is no proof I will accept. Now that's childish.
If there is a god, I want to believe that there is a god. If there is not a god, I want to believe that there is no god.