RE: Would you be an atheist if science and reason wasn't supportive of atheism?
December 6, 2012 at 12:03 am
(This post was last modified: December 6, 2012 at 12:06 am by The Grand Nudger.)
(December 5, 2012 at 11:18 pm)Vincenzo "Vinny" G. Wrote: The problem is, you have two separate, contradictory probabilities of Bob winning the lottery.Bolding is mine..........
Before he wins it's 1 in n number of tickets.
After he wins it's 1 in 1?
This is nonsense. You can't have two different, contradictory probabilities for one situation.
Quote:After he wins, it's not even the same scenario, the previous odds don't apply.Bolding is mine...........
Quote:I know how difficult it is to admit you were wrong and I'm right. So I won't even expect you to do anything other than make personal attacks and say "you're wrong, you're wrong" without engaging with what I'm saying.Feel free to elaborate on exactly where I've failed to explain to you that "odds" mean jack shit with regards to events that have already occurred?
Quote:But I hope you at least understand that you can't have two separate probabilities for the same instance. Just like you can't have two different heights using the same units for the same person at the same time in the same place.Good thing we don;t actually have two contradictory probabilities, eh? Do you want people to humor you or not?
Quote:Only one probability is right for Bob winning the lottery, and 1-1 is not it. That's why we're not out there buying up lottery tickets right now.1-1 if he has the ticket in hand. The probability of any event, given that the event already occurred, is always 1:1. The problem is...the way the question is manufactured, not probability.
What's the probability that you posted your last response?
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