(September 15, 2016 at 8:41 am)Crossless1 Wrote:(September 14, 2016 at 5:35 pm)The Gentleman Bastard Wrote: That article is about the teams covering the spread, not necessarily winning outright.
Right. But the percentage of outright wins for favorites covering the various spreads is helpful in determining the likelihood of those same teams winning by any margin. It's all rough and ready, anyway, and was offered simply as food for thought. Vegas odds-makers obviously aren't the last word. As they say, "That's why they play the game."
If people think it is more fun to get into more detail there is a AF fantasy league thread. I chose this mere win/lose pick em because I have long since accepted the crapshoot it can be. Last year if you look just at my rankings from week to week I was at the top and middle and bottom depending on week.
I am not trying to win in any serious sense, but just in a "neener neener" friendly way. Can we all simply have fun without making this too deep? Don't make me post an ABBA video.