50/50

[thehedglin]

No, the number of flips changes the distribution curve, changing the odds of the sequence. Even if the odds of a single flip doesn't ever change, the odds of any sequence of numerous flips does. This also influences the probability of what will come next.

Wrong.  The chances are always 50/50.  The results of the previous flip have nothing to do with the next flip.  It is always 50/50.

You still have missed the point.

It still has nothing to do with a 50/50 chance of there being a god.  There either is or is not.  Moot point.  There is only a 50.50 chance of being correct as in my hide the coin in one hand.  There is a coin. Period. absolutely.  There is only a 50.50 chance of choosing the correct hand, but there is a coin. !00% chance.

If you are given the choice multiple times, the chances of you being correct every time is not 50/50.

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Just for those that think they know probabilities.

I have two envelopes.  One has a twenty and the other has a five.

What are the chances that you will pick the envelope with the twenty?

Before you open the envelope, I will give you a chance to pick the other one.

Now what are the chances you will pick the one with the twenty.

If given the choice only once, 50/50. But if given this choice more than once, the chances that you will pick the twenty every time is NOT 50/50.

A second example.  You have a room with thirty people in it.  What is the chance that two have the same birthday?

Actually depends on your birthday, the chances of finding someone with the same birthday changes drastically if you were born on leap day(February 29th).