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50/50
#53
RE: 50/50
(September 1, 2015 at 7:13 pm)Shuffle Wrote:
(September 1, 2015 at 11:39 am)Alex K Wrote: This thread needs more Bayes

The probability that I just googled "Bayes" is not 50/50.

I alluded to it earlier, when I mentioned the medical test, the one with a 16% probability.
I would more generally advocate that one only leave one entrance into their mind(reason), and keep the rest of it rather closed, as it is one hell of a lot easier to shovel shit in than it is to get it out.

If the evidence and reason for you to believe something isn't really any better than the reason you should believe some rural farmer from Arkansas got anally probed by interstellar visitors, then you probably shouldn't.

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Messages In This Thread
50/50 - by Shuffle - August 30, 2015 at 4:29 pm
RE: 50/50 - by abaris - August 30, 2015 at 4:32 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 30, 2015 at 4:36 pm
RE: 50/50 - by abaris - August 30, 2015 at 4:38 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 30, 2015 at 4:39 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Longhorn - August 30, 2015 at 4:33 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Ravenshire - August 30, 2015 at 4:41 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Cecelia - August 30, 2015 at 4:42 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Alex K - August 30, 2015 at 5:16 pm
RE: 50/50 - by abaris - August 30, 2015 at 4:45 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Chad32 - August 30, 2015 at 5:00 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Spooky - August 30, 2015 at 5:01 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 30, 2015 at 5:40 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Wyrd of Gawd - August 31, 2015 at 1:22 am
RE: 50/50 - by Ravenshire - August 31, 2015 at 1:53 am
RE: 50/50 - by Wyrd of Gawd - August 31, 2015 at 2:40 am
RE: 50/50 - by Ravenshire - August 31, 2015 at 10:03 pm
RE: 50/50 - by robvalue - August 31, 2015 at 8:06 am
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - August 31, 2015 at 8:58 am
RE: 50/50 - by ErGingerbreadMandude - August 31, 2015 at 9:08 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 10:19 am
RE: 50/50 - by robvalue - August 31, 2015 at 9:51 am
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - August 31, 2015 at 10:29 am
RE: 50/50 - by Wyrd of Gawd - August 31, 2015 at 11:56 am
RE: 50/50 - by ErGingerbreadMandude - August 31, 2015 at 10:22 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 10:26 am
RE: 50/50 - by ErGingerbreadMandude - August 31, 2015 at 10:31 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 10:32 am
RE: 50/50 - by ErGingerbreadMandude - August 31, 2015 at 10:34 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 10:37 am
RE: 50/50 - by ErGingerbreadMandude - August 31, 2015 at 11:19 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 7:18 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Homeless Nutter - August 31, 2015 at 11:57 am
RE: 50/50 - by robvalue - August 31, 2015 at 11:58 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - August 31, 2015 at 7:25 pm
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - August 31, 2015 at 7:38 pm
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - August 31, 2015 at 9:31 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 9:47 pm
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - August 31, 2015 at 10:47 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 1, 2015 at 12:03 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - August 31, 2015 at 11:09 pm
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - August 31, 2015 at 11:51 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 1, 2015 at 12:00 am
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - September 1, 2015 at 12:07 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 1, 2015 at 1:33 am
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - September 1, 2015 at 7:14 am
RE: 50/50 - by Simon Moon - August 31, 2015 at 10:19 pm
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 1, 2015 at 1:50 am
RE: 50/50 - by comet - September 1, 2015 at 7:41 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 1, 2015 at 9:51 am
RE: 50/50 - by Alex K - September 1, 2015 at 11:39 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 1, 2015 at 7:13 pm
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - September 1, 2015 at 9:51 pm
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 1, 2015 at 11:50 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 2, 2015 at 12:37 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 2, 2015 at 12:43 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 2, 2015 at 12:46 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 2, 2015 at 1:13 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 2, 2015 at 9:59 am
RE: 50/50 - by Cato - September 2, 2015 at 6:43 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 2, 2015 at 12:03 am
RE: 50/50 - by MTL - September 2, 2015 at 12:37 am
RE: 50/50 - by Wyrd of Gawd - September 2, 2015 at 3:50 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 2, 2015 at 10:40 am
RE: 50/50 - by Ben Davis - September 2, 2015 at 10:59 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 2, 2015 at 6:32 pm
RE: 50/50 - by robvalue - September 2, 2015 at 6:45 am
RE: 50/50 - by Ben Davis - September 2, 2015 at 9:10 am



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