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50/50
#62
RE: 50/50
(September 2, 2015 at 12:46 am)Shuffle Wrote: I really meant the chances that the god they believe in exists.

Part of the confusion in this thread is that two very distinct meanings of probability are being conflated. When we are talking about beliefs we can roll out Bayes in a subjectivist probability discussion. This says absolutely nothing about the actual existence of any god. For that we need frequency probability which relies on observation, measurement, and an understanding of the causal mechanism if available.

For the existence of physical entities, probability is essentially the frequency of occurrence. Until at least one god is demonstrated, the frequency probability is zero; Bayes be damned.
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Messages In This Thread
50/50 - by Shuffle - August 30, 2015 at 4:29 pm
RE: 50/50 - by abaris - August 30, 2015 at 4:32 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 30, 2015 at 4:36 pm
RE: 50/50 - by abaris - August 30, 2015 at 4:38 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 30, 2015 at 4:39 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Longhorn - August 30, 2015 at 4:33 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Ravenshire - August 30, 2015 at 4:41 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Cecelia - August 30, 2015 at 4:42 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Alex K - August 30, 2015 at 5:16 pm
RE: 50/50 - by abaris - August 30, 2015 at 4:45 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Chad32 - August 30, 2015 at 5:00 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Spooky - August 30, 2015 at 5:01 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 30, 2015 at 5:40 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Wyrd of Gawd - August 31, 2015 at 1:22 am
RE: 50/50 - by Ravenshire - August 31, 2015 at 1:53 am
RE: 50/50 - by Wyrd of Gawd - August 31, 2015 at 2:40 am
RE: 50/50 - by Ravenshire - August 31, 2015 at 10:03 pm
RE: 50/50 - by robvalue - August 31, 2015 at 8:06 am
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - August 31, 2015 at 8:58 am
RE: 50/50 - by ErGingerbreadMandude - August 31, 2015 at 9:08 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 10:19 am
RE: 50/50 - by robvalue - August 31, 2015 at 9:51 am
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - August 31, 2015 at 10:29 am
RE: 50/50 - by Wyrd of Gawd - August 31, 2015 at 11:56 am
RE: 50/50 - by ErGingerbreadMandude - August 31, 2015 at 10:22 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 10:26 am
RE: 50/50 - by ErGingerbreadMandude - August 31, 2015 at 10:31 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 10:32 am
RE: 50/50 - by ErGingerbreadMandude - August 31, 2015 at 10:34 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 10:37 am
RE: 50/50 - by ErGingerbreadMandude - August 31, 2015 at 11:19 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 7:18 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Homeless Nutter - August 31, 2015 at 11:57 am
RE: 50/50 - by robvalue - August 31, 2015 at 11:58 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - August 31, 2015 at 7:25 pm
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - August 31, 2015 at 7:38 pm
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - August 31, 2015 at 9:31 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - August 31, 2015 at 9:47 pm
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - August 31, 2015 at 10:47 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 1, 2015 at 12:03 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - August 31, 2015 at 11:09 pm
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - August 31, 2015 at 11:51 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 1, 2015 at 12:00 am
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - September 1, 2015 at 12:07 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 1, 2015 at 1:33 am
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - September 1, 2015 at 7:14 am
RE: 50/50 - by Simon Moon - August 31, 2015 at 10:19 pm
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 1, 2015 at 1:50 am
RE: 50/50 - by comet - September 1, 2015 at 7:41 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 1, 2015 at 9:51 am
RE: 50/50 - by Alex K - September 1, 2015 at 11:39 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 1, 2015 at 7:13 pm
RE: 50/50 - by thehedglin - September 1, 2015 at 9:51 pm
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 1, 2015 at 11:50 pm
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 2, 2015 at 12:37 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 2, 2015 at 12:43 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 2, 2015 at 12:46 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 2, 2015 at 1:13 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 2, 2015 at 9:59 am
RE: 50/50 - by Cato - September 2, 2015 at 6:43 am
RE: 50/50 - by IATIA - September 2, 2015 at 12:03 am
RE: 50/50 - by MTL - September 2, 2015 at 12:37 am
RE: 50/50 - by Wyrd of Gawd - September 2, 2015 at 3:50 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 2, 2015 at 10:40 am
RE: 50/50 - by Ben Davis - September 2, 2015 at 10:59 am
RE: 50/50 - by Shuffle - September 2, 2015 at 6:32 pm
RE: 50/50 - by robvalue - September 2, 2015 at 6:45 am
RE: 50/50 - by Ben Davis - September 2, 2015 at 9:10 am



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