RE: Why I do not believe AI smarter than Humans will make more progress than Humans
November 10, 2015 at 5:24 am
(This post was last modified: November 10, 2015 at 5:29 am by Anomalocaris.)
(November 10, 2015 at 5:17 am)robvalue Wrote:(November 10, 2015 at 3:57 am)ignoramus Wrote: Also, it is more likely that the physical limitations of our universe will detract almost all from ever trying to reach each other.
That and the prime directive...They just need to look at the middle east and say: beam me up Scotty.
If I remember right, we're getting further and further away from other galaxies in real terms. This would make any contact increasingly unlikely.
Anom: good point.
The average rate at which nearby galaxies recedes from us is but a tiny fraction of speed of light, and accelerating only slowly and on cosmological time scale. Even if it takes us a billion years to achieve the capability to travel at 99% the speed of light, we would still then be able to overtake and explore all the trillions of galaxies that are currently within several billion light years of us before they are carried from our observable horizon forever by the accelerating expansion of the universe.
We should not underestimate the power of cosmological timescale to compound seemingly small probabilities into virtual certainties. So I think on cosmological timescale, massive collisions of many different intelligent organisms must be commonplace.