RE: Why I do not believe AI smarter than Humans will make more progress than Humans
November 11, 2015 at 1:35 am
(November 10, 2015 at 9:27 pm)Anomalocaris Wrote:(November 10, 2015 at 6:56 am)ignoramus Wrote: Chuck, but I would have thought the amount of planets will the correct conditions for abiogenesis, let alone a successful diverse evolution, let alone that intelligence is a given, would be relatively minor. Then we assume that no extinction events in all these millions of years of evolution. I don't know.
If 1 in a million planets undergo abiogenesis, and 1 in a million planets that underwent abiogenesis evolve intelligent life, and 1 in a million intelligent species eventually develop space travel, we still expect ten million space faring civilizations to have evolved in the observable universe.
I think you lost a factor of 100 somewhere there
The fool hath said in his heart, There is a God. They are corrupt, they have done abominable works, there is none that doeth good.
Psalm 14, KJV revised edition
