RE: Hi from scared Holubice
April 18, 2011 at 7:54 am
(This post was last modified: April 18, 2011 at 8:04 am by lilphil1989.)
(April 18, 2011 at 5:39 am)Holubice Wrote: Can you compute this combination? And was you good in maths, physic and biology at school?
I already answered in this post:
Me! Wrote:Actually it's not possible to say. He told us we get to choose 6 numbers, but not how many numbers we get to choose from.
If we have N numbers to choose from, on the first roll the probability of getting a given chosen number is 1/N. On the second, the probability is 1/(N-1) (since there is one less ball), on the third 1/(N-2) and so on up to 1/(N-5).
compounding these probablilites: P = 1/N * 1/(N-1) * ... 1/(N-5)
or equivalently, P = (N-6)! / N! where N! = 1 * 2 * 3 * 4 * .... N
This is the probability for our numbers to come out in a given order, but it doesn't matter which order our numbers come out in. There are 6! ways to arrange 6 numbers, so our chance of winning is increased by this factor:
P = (N-6)! 6! / N!
But since we don't have N for this case, we can't determine the odds of winning.
For your example of N=90, the probability of winning is just 84!*6! / 90! .
But I don't see the relevance.
I'm in my final year of a physics masters degree and expecting a first, so I'm fairly good at physics. There's a lot of mathematical content, and I've also spent a fair bit of time reading up on topics in mathematics in my spare time, so I know a fair bit about math too. As for biology, I can't say that I know much beyond the basics.
Are you going to get to the point?
Oh, I see, this again...
(April 18, 2011 at 7:45 am)Holubice Wrote: So you think it has sense all those things below had come true just by chance:
*pictures*
I don't say is true or not, I just want to compute the possibility it could come true by themself by chance. That's why I need to discuss with persons good in Math, Physic science and Biology.
No one ever claimed that a brain or an eye just happened to assemble itself out of a soup of it's molecular constituents, which is what the lottery analogy would suggest.
Evolution is a slow, incremental process and it IS NOT random. If you think that the theory of evolution says that different species just appear by chance, you don't understand the theory of evolution.
Mutations are random, not evolution.
Galileo was a man of science oppressed by the irrational and superstitious. Today, he is used by the irrational and superstitious who claim they are being oppressed by science - Mark Crislip
