(September 21, 2018 at 10:47 am)Jörmungandr Wrote:(September 21, 2018 at 10:43 am)RoadRunner79 Wrote: I think that the "Extraordinary Claims" mantra while it make for a catchy turn of phrase, has little or no epistemological foundation or basis. It's little more than special pleading, without some justification for the difference in reasoning.
I think a firm foundation for it can be found in Bayes theorem, but it's far from obvious. If you want to re-open that thread, I'll do my best to explain.
If you have something to say (add) then feel free to make a thread. I would agree, that is probably venturing quite a bit away from this thread.
It is said that an argument is what convinces reasonable men and a proof is what it takes to convince even an unreasonable man. - Alexander Vilenkin
If I am shown my error, I will be the first to throw my books into the fire. - Martin Luther
If I am shown my error, I will be the first to throw my books into the fire. - Martin Luther