RE: Kavanaugh Can Join Thomas.
September 21, 2018 at 11:17 am
(This post was last modified: September 21, 2018 at 11:24 am by Angrboda.)
(September 21, 2018 at 11:06 am)RoadRunner79 Wrote:(September 21, 2018 at 10:47 am)Jörmungandr Wrote: I think a firm foundation for it can be found in Bayes theorem, but it's far from obvious. If you want to re-open that thread, I'll do my best to explain.
If you have something to say (add) then feel free to make a thread. I would agree, that is probably venturing quite a bit away from this thread.
Well in the interim, let's just agree to disagree. The saying that "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence" may or may not be justified. At minimum, it seems to accurately capture a common intuition. Like the Blasey Ford allegations, people seem to object to it because it interferes with their chosen narrative. Whether that bias is or isn't abetted by the facts remains to be seen. Given that many of the same people will also argue in favor of the intuitions which are used by reformed epistemology to justify their claims as well, I have a strong suspicion their complaints are nothing more than a hypocritical attempt to shoot the messenger.