Russia and Ukraine

[Anomalocaris]

And now that the Russians are repositioning to concentrate on eastern Ukraine, is there anything that makes you think that they won’t re-employ the same failed playbook of ‘Well, this strategy strategy worked 80 years ago…let’s do it again!!’ ?

Boru

well, now that their plans and leadership qualities have all been harshly tested by reality, there should be a weeding out process in progress throughout the ranks where those who succeeded in their roles, or at least failed less badly, should be given more responsibility at the expense of those who failed more miserably.    So I expect the average command performance of the Russian military leadership will improve in the upcoming weeks.

however, there could be offsetting factors.   For example,  would senior russian national leadership now recognize the new improved military leadership needs to be given room to formulate plans that better fit new found appreciation of the limitations of capabilities of the forces under their command?   or will they think now that they have officers with better track record in charge, they can push their military twice as hard to achieve more?

if the russians really appreciate the urgency of situation, and still have good organizers in their military, they should also be doing some emergency reorganization of the  forces they pulled out of the line from around Kyiv into something more effective and better able to conduct deeper mobile operations, and also do a crash reindoctrination of low to mid level field officers to account for experiences gained and avoid the detects of their battalion tactical group doctrine.