(September 27, 2022 at 7:01 am)Deesse23 Wrote:(September 27, 2022 at 5:45 am)Jehanne Wrote: The war has gone back & forth. Early on Russia had its share of successes, and then, was pushed back, in part due to the antitank weapons supplied from the West. After that, the Russians regrouped and the war entered a stalemate. Over the last several weeks the Ukrainians have made huge gains, largely due to American intelligence and more Western weapons.When you invade another country, with an overwhelming number of hardware, including T90s ´n stuff, then get pushed back, several times (Kiev, Izium), ending in a rout, then things are not looking good for you. Then things didnt go according to plan
Period
Antitank weapons? How comes that a substantial amount of Ukraines newly aquired MBTs are former russian tanks? Because "anti tank weapons"? Hardly.
(September 27, 2022 at 5:45 am)Jehanne Wrote: Ultimately, I see Russia winning, in which the West's efforts will have just been to prolong a senseless and unnecessary war. It is most certainly not a hope, but, a prediction, in part, based upon their historical behavior and culture.If you are referring to WWII tactics and usage of manpower, then you are horribly wrong.
You are basing your opinion on false historic comparisons and pop culture, not on facts.
(September 27, 2022 at 5:45 am)Jehanne Wrote: It is absolutely pointless to argue about such things. None of us has a crystal ball, and so, time will tell. I hope that all of you will have been right, and in the end, I will have been proven wrong.There is public information around, pretty hard data, that is (and i am talking neither about Ukrainina nor Russian Ministry of Defense) painting a picture not favourable for Russia. It has a severe problem with quantity and quality of manpower, and you cant conquer a foreign country with tanks. You need crew for those tanks ( n stuff). Looking at the curent standing of calling in the reservists, this doesn tlook good either.
I am a layperson, and, speaking as a layperson, I think that Ukraine has lasted as long as it has due to Western weapons, and, especially, Western intelligence.