Peak Petrol

[Anomalocaris]

Before WWII the US was a major exporter of oil. Cleverly, FDR got us into WWII by not giving the Japanese any of our oil.

j/k  

 More clever to say the Japanese got us into WWII by striking our naval base on Oahu.

It is equally fair to say once the oil embargo is in place a war with Japan is absolutely certain, the only unknown is how it will start.

It is certain because without war, the oil embargo can only end in total diplomatic humiliation and credibility collapse of either the U.S. or Japan.     Either Japan capitulate and pull out of China, or the US capitulate and does nothing while Japan seizes what is now Indonesia and Malaysia.