(September 10, 2023 at 1:34 pm)Anomalocaris Wrote:(September 10, 2023 at 1:32 pm)LinuxGal Wrote: More clever to say the Japanese got us into WWII by striking our naval base on Oahu.
It is equally fair to say once the oil embargo is in place a war with Japan is absolutely certain, the only unknown is how it will start.
It is certain because without war, the oil embargo can only end in total diplomatic humiliation and credibility collapse of either the U.S. or Japan. Either Japan capitulate and pull out of China, or the US capitulate and does nothing while Japan seizes what is now Indonesia and Malaysia.
... and add to that the fact that the Japanese Navy, by its own estimates, had only enough oil reserves for about two years of normal operations, or eighteen months of combat ops. That put a hard deadline on their decision to go to war, as well as influencing which direction Japanese aggression would take.
