Russia and Ukraine

[BrianSoddingBoru4]

Just because it is Putin’s fevered dream doesn’t mean it is not likely to be true.     And Putin has show himself to be a more sophisticated strategist whose plans didn’t depend solely on a single throw of the dice or a single measure of superiority, and are therefore more robust and can achieve favorable ends by different means in the face of different contingencies.

I don’t think Finlandization would work in Ukraine. Even if Russia could convince the Ukrainian government to go along (unlikely, but possible), the likely guerrilla war waged by the populace would exact an uncomfortably high price.

Boru