(January 21, 2024 at 6:59 am)BrianSoddingBoru4 Wrote:(January 21, 2024 at 6:48 am)FlatAssembler Wrote: But the modern scientific method works via p-values. If, under the null hypothesis, the probability of some observation happening by chance is lower than 5%, you reject the null hypothesis.
The trouble with that is that all the p-values that can be mustered don't affect whether a particular event (such as the Croatian War) has occurred. As an example, the probability of being dealt a royal flush as a pat hand is 0.00015, yet it's happened to me twice.
Boru
So, why does the science these days revolve around p-values?