Russia and Ukraine

[Leonardo17]

Russia is definitely not winning (They didn’t really win anything since they started the war 3 years ago) but Ukrainians are still dying and their soldiers are really tired. So no matter what happens Putin is still a butcher and a person that has to be stopped.

   There are going to be some talks tomorrow. The UK has left the EUropean Union. France has a government crisis and there will be elections in Germany. But we will see if Europeans can create some sort of united front (with the leadership of Poland) against the US. It’s not that anything Trump said is really going to happen, but there might be a window of opportunity here with the US getting the parties to a cease fire, then European troops moving into Ukraine as peacekeepers (of course with US troops having their back from a distance in case things go ugly).

   But if I am reading this right Trump want to withdraw some 20,000 troops from Europe too.

   Also: Most NATO members will not spend 5% of their budget on their military. For most countries it will be more like 3/3,5 %. That’s still not bad and many see it as something that needed to happen.

   Also: Trump is trying to rebalance the trade deficit of the US. His supporters say that they are promoting a system with more balanced trade relations between different countries. That’s not all-bad either.

    So I am not expecting an Afghanistan-like disaster in Ukraine but things are still shifting and that doesn’t have to be all negative. The only reason why this might not work would be Putin himself. Putin clearly does not want peace. But will he settle to something he can sell to his propaganda machine as some sort of victory? – We simply don’t know.

    Another important issue is that Donald Trump has greater chances of handling this situation than Mr. Joe Biden or even Kamala Harris