The Need to Breed

[Cinjin]

I did not state that it is not already too late.

We are currently already seeing a decline in growth, which I did not mention, but you seem to think I am confused about.

If the world only had 300 babies a day, given that about 156,000 people die every day, our population would collapse in a matter of decades and we would be near extinction in 75 years (because the death rate--not necessarily the absolute number--would increase as our population aged, about 3.5 billion people are currently 30 or over, the vast majority of those will be dead in fifty years). I suspect you meant to use a different number, but if birth rate were lowered to 30% of the current rate (to about 115,000 per day), it would be below the current death rate (about 156,000 per day) and our population would start to decline (in absolute terms, by about 40,000 per day).

After 2050, the projection is that population will begin to go down in absolute terms. Again, I'm not confused about declines in the rate of growth.

I said nothing about global warming projections. I don't see what my acceptance or non-acceptance of either projection has to do why you should or should not accept them. Perhaps you're 'on a roll' and not thinking things through? And the people who make the UN's population projections ARE scientists.

Maybe you should consider taking my posts, especially ones which are only sharing information, more literally. And law of charity says don't assume I'm an idiot who doesn't know what the terms I'm using mean without a good reason.

You usually do better work here, so I'm going to assume you're just a bit carried away and not take it personally.

I haven't taken anything personally in this thread - from anyone. I am no more upset with you than anyone else. No need for you to have hurt feelings or make the assumption that I'm upset. Nor do you need to assume that just because I disagree with you that it means I think you're an idiot. I do not.

You usually do better work here as well. So I'll assume that you are not as butthurt as your post implies.

Meanwhile, I did indeed get my numbers crossed, however population decline, even a massive one would be a GREAT thing - especially if it was a natural process. Imagine giving the earth a fighting chance by only having a couple billion people on it for a century or two.

Alas, you and I both know that's not going to happen, and by 2050 this place is going to get biblical.