RE: The Monty Hall problem.
January 19, 2013 at 8:37 pm
(This post was last modified: January 19, 2013 at 8:38 pm by Golbez.)
(January 19, 2013 at 8:02 pm)Joy Squeezy Wrote: They didn't switch, so it's irrelevant. Sneering at my 'mathS' isn't going to get you anywhere. Many mathematicians were also stumped by the problem.
Think of a coin toss. Whether the person tossing the coin understands probability, they will, given enough trials, get about 50% heads and 50% tails.
Given a clueless audience, they will either choose the same door and win 33% of the time, or switch and get 66% of the time. It plays out whether the audience/guests understand or not. A stumped mathematician does not change the probability, nor the outcome. The outcomes, given enough samples, will always play out. Even if they all choose the same door. It still confirms the odds.
