God's God

[Esquilax]

No I would not accept that as enough evidence to convict.

It would make the police search for evidence that supported your though.

As you yourself pointed out there are a number of different scenerios that could have led to the deaths.

The verdict was guilty, you are trying to change what happened, answer the question that arrived from the story. You need to stop making up your own questions and giving answer to them, that's dishonest.

I think the issue at hand is that your story is working from flawed premises and arrived at an unrealistic conclusion. Anything you thus draw from this conclusion will not reflect reality, so insisting that your narrative be taken at face value tells us nothing about the real world.

Despite your claims, nobody has ever been convicted of murder solely on the basis of "a guy said he did it, and then died."