RE: I see no way this could ever backfire!
November 13, 2013 at 5:17 pm
(This post was last modified: November 13, 2013 at 5:31 pm by Anomalocaris.)
Patriotism and love of freedom does not trump the knowledge of which side of your bread is buttered on. Soldiers in North Korea is amongst the most privileged classes besides high officialdom. Soldiers in a privileged position in a autocrasy don't tend to throw in with the revolutionaries except:
1. Their country have been heavily defeated in a war which their autocrat is not smart enough to end, so the soldiers revoluted to avoid becoming cannon fodder to a clearly lost cause
2. They were ordered to do so by their generals in a coup disguised as a revolution.
3. The revolutionaries have already come close to winning and the soldiers can see which way the wind is blowing.
To count on a previleged military to become a prime mover in a revolution to end the source of their privilege is folly.
The most likely way by which the Kim regime would end would be through a military coup. The leader of the coup is unlikely to be a liberal democrat at heart. What would most likely happen is North Korea would transition from pseudo-theocratic Kimsian hell to the purgatory of a military junta led banana republic, something like Berma before the recent half hearted thaw.
1. Their country have been heavily defeated in a war which their autocrat is not smart enough to end, so the soldiers revoluted to avoid becoming cannon fodder to a clearly lost cause
2. They were ordered to do so by their generals in a coup disguised as a revolution.
3. The revolutionaries have already come close to winning and the soldiers can see which way the wind is blowing.
To count on a previleged military to become a prime mover in a revolution to end the source of their privilege is folly.
The most likely way by which the Kim regime would end would be through a military coup. The leader of the coup is unlikely to be a liberal democrat at heart. What would most likely happen is North Korea would transition from pseudo-theocratic Kimsian hell to the purgatory of a military junta led banana republic, something like Berma before the recent half hearted thaw.
