RE: popular opinion as evidence
April 11, 2014 at 11:41 pm
(This post was last modified: April 11, 2014 at 11:42 pm by MindForgedManacle.)
(April 11, 2014 at 11:38 pm)tor Wrote: I tell a town of stupid people I'm a wizard. People believe me. Does that make me more likely to be a wizard? No.
More likely than it would have been if you hadn't said so. But of course as I said earlier, other evidence alters the probability of a claims likelihood, e.g in this case, we have good reasons to be very skeptical that magic or wizards exist.