I personally think this recent episode in Iraq, while embarrassing for us, is not only not dangerous to our core interests, it is not even really that dangerous to the regime we left behind in Iraq.
I personally think ISIS is a stupid mob with bazookas that has far overplayed its own hand. It won't need to be defeated by the feeble and cowardly Iraqi forces. It would collapse under the weight because as a jihadist organization it should not have attempt to control large territory or population while fighting established civil administrations. ISIS is trying to do just that. A jihadist organization derive its strength from popular discontent with civil administration. Once a jihadist organization starts to over reach and try to become a civil administration in control of large territory, it would need to feed the people, run the public services, etc, better then the administration it fought against. Otherwise popular discontent will simply transfer from the enemies of the jihadists to the jihadists themselves,many the jihadist movement will collapse. Jihadist organizations such as ISIS are hardly the type that would attract intellectuals, skilled technocrats, and other elements of society needed to out perform iraq's civil administration. ISIS will soon start to collapse in on itself even as it tries to make further advances upon the Iraqi administration.
I personally think ISIS is a stupid mob with bazookas that has far overplayed its own hand. It won't need to be defeated by the feeble and cowardly Iraqi forces. It would collapse under the weight because as a jihadist organization it should not have attempt to control large territory or population while fighting established civil administrations. ISIS is trying to do just that. A jihadist organization derive its strength from popular discontent with civil administration. Once a jihadist organization starts to over reach and try to become a civil administration in control of large territory, it would need to feed the people, run the public services, etc, better then the administration it fought against. Otherwise popular discontent will simply transfer from the enemies of the jihadists to the jihadists themselves,many the jihadist movement will collapse. Jihadist organizations such as ISIS are hardly the type that would attract intellectuals, skilled technocrats, and other elements of society needed to out perform iraq's civil administration. ISIS will soon start to collapse in on itself even as it tries to make further advances upon the Iraqi administration.
