RE: The Lottery
January 9, 2015 at 12:03 pm
(This post was last modified: January 9, 2015 at 12:09 pm by BlackMason.)
(January 9, 2015 at 7:14 am)Cato Wrote: If that's the case, you should procure one of these for your experiment:
Cato, you raise a very good point. So as a response to preserving the integrity of my experiment, I'm forced to change my hypothesis. Instead of saying the lottery is rigged, I'm going to move to the position that it is not random instead.
The hypothesis "it is rigged" is too specific and I don't have the money to spend on a ball set machine. My control was not suitable for that hypothesis. However the new hypothesis allows me to keep my current experiment because I'm testing randomness. If my data does show it is not random, that is all I can say. I can't take the step to say it is rigged because I would be affirming the consequent which is a pattern of invalid argument or fallacy if you will.
(January 8, 2015 at 10:35 pm)bennyboy Wrote: You're wasting your time. If there's a fix, it's going to be a one-time or irregular event. What you're engaged in is essentially superstitious...
What you're engaged in is an argument from ignorance.
8000 years before Jesus, the Egyptian god Horus said, "I am the way, the truth, the life."