Yeah, this Bayes theorem shit is probably interesting to a math geek but it is in essence a comparison of probabilities. That is fine but then Carrier frequently seems totally arbitrary (or worse ) in the assignment of numerical values to those probabilities. Now for the "or worse" part. He almost always tends to over-value religious positions I suppose in the interest of "fairness." It is not necessary. The story is bullshit and he knows it from the beginning and all of this alleged mathematical proof is a distraction from the narrative.
The fact that jesus is nothing special within the literature of the time is sufficient.
The fact that jesus is nothing special within the literature of the time is sufficient.