RE: Climate catastrophe isn't so certain
May 14, 2012 at 3:07 pm
(This post was last modified: May 14, 2012 at 3:18 pm by Anomalocaris.)
(May 14, 2012 at 6:46 am)orogenicman Wrote:(May 12, 2012 at 7:03 am)Rhythm Wrote: A centuries worth of people aware of an increase in deadly cyclones and no reaction by engineers and architects? Give us a little credit. Climate change, yes. Climateapocalypse, no.
In fact, there has been plenty of reaction by engineers. Those levees around New Orleans didn't build themselves.
The suprebly adaquate levees in Irrawaddy delta where 200,000+ people drowned in 2008 didn't built themselves, not did anyone else build them.
As to the levees in New Orlean, they didn't build themselves. But were they adaquately built, as is perfectly possible with 1950 technology, to withstand the consequences of a Katrina like storm, also amply predicted back in 1960s?
(May 14, 2012 at 1:15 am)KichigaiNeko Wrote: Also have a look at rainfall. India gets heaps and has the highest arable land.
India has at least has conquerored famine since the British left. So added rainfall and prosumably increased food production probably won't reduce the background casaulty.
But what about added casaulty? Added rain fall to India in the 21st century will comes from the monsoon in Indian ocean, and much of the monsoon rain arrives by cyclones. 5 cyclones in the drier 20th century already killed 100,000 people each. As yet there seem to be nothing like adaquate plans to protect the Northern Indian ocean basin against the sort of monsoon seen in the drier 20th century. What is additional casualty to be expected from India's more bountiful rainfall?