RE: Super Tuesday
March 2, 2016 at 5:03 pm
(This post was last modified: March 2, 2016 at 5:06 pm by Tiberius.)
(March 2, 2016 at 2:41 pm)Minimalist Wrote: If my quoting professional political watchers is "including it" then guilty as charged. Do you seriously think that if people were going to "change their minds" they would have come out for Clinton in the first place when all they had to do was stay silent?
Yes I do seriously think that, because it happens every single election year. Clinton had the most superdelegates when she was up against Obama, but as Obama won more and more states, many of Clinton's superdelegates switched to support Obama instead.
Also note that superdelegates don't even *count* until the conference. There's no official party total of them. News organisations and pollsters keep track via different means. Some will track only those who have publicly announced their support; some will try and estimate the numbers. The point is, you can go to different news sites and get completely different numbers of delegates. The only delegate numbers that are static are the pledged delegates, which are those won in primaries / caucuses.
Source: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/supe...y-clinton/
Source: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Por...cy_Project (scroll down to "Superdelegate switchers")
Quote:Come on, Tibs. Be serious. Sanders is an independent running for the democratic nomination. That is not lost on the democratic establishment.
Sanders is an independent who has caucused with the Democrats throughout his time in office. That's relevant. It's not like some random independent just decided he wanted the Democratic nomination; he's been a Democrat in all but the name for decades.