(March 14, 2016 at 11:31 pm)ignoramus Wrote: Guys, aren't the first 8 picks completely irrelevant as far as the odds go?
Only one in ten samples will end in the last person whose name is still unpicked and then there's a 50% chance of not being picked anyway.
So basically, it's a one in 20?
No, there are many more paths than that. The number of ways to pick is what determines the probability.
Skepticism is not a position; it is an approach to claims.
Science is not a subject, but a method.
Science is not a subject, but a method.
