RE: The Problem with Christians
March 21, 2016 at 6:44 am
(This post was last modified: March 21, 2016 at 6:45 am by AJW333.)
(March 21, 2016 at 12:23 am)JuliaL Wrote: Here's another probability calculation.This represents a complete distortion of the mathematics. When fertilizing an egg cell with a sperm cell, it makes no difference which sperm fertilizes which egg. Any combination will do. This is not so with the sequencing of the amino acids in proteins. They must be in the correct order to create the correct protein. And since the chances of getting the correct sequence of approximately 450 AAs in each protein is 1 x 10^500, it is mathematically deemed impossible to achieve this by chance. If it does occur, it would be by design.
If average, your father produced on the order of two trillion (10^12) sperm in his lifetime exactly one of which produced you.
Your mother started with about two million eggs exactly one of which produced you.
These probabilities are multiplicative.
So the probability in one generation, of you being genetically roughly who you are is on the order of 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000 (ignoring mutations here.)
Going back one more generation: the probability of your father being genetically who he was is also ~1 in 10^18 same for your mother.
So the chances of them just having the right genetics for you to be exactly you is
1/10^18 times 1/10^18 times 1/10^18 or one chance in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.
Go back more generations and the string of zeros gets longer quickly. You get to 1 in 10^50 pretty much right away.
(March 21, 2016 at 5:58 am)pocaracas Wrote: "Random" mutations of DNA are not truly random.... they're still bound by chemistry.... so your numbers are most likely wrong by excess...
Also, how many generations of life forms capable of sensing light have there been on this planet?
If the DNA mutations aren't random, what controls them?