(April 1, 2016 at 8:08 pm)Esquilax Wrote:(April 1, 2016 at 5:32 pm)AAA Wrote: If all sequences of 10 are acceptable, then the chance of getting an acceptable sequence is 100%. If only a few sequences are acceptable (as is the case with proteins) then the chance of getting an acceptable sequence is low.
So let's tweak a few variables. Let's say that only one sequence of ten cards is acceptable, and let's give us several million years to draw it. Let's also say that, in every draw, if you get a card in a workable position on the sequence you get to keep it there, even if the other nine cards are out of sequence, and bring it through to the next drawing.
Now you've got something closer to the natural selection process. What do you think the chances are of getting the right sequence in millions of years now?
Yeah, but natural selection applies to replicating systems, which is not what we are talking about. We are talking about a protein forming, not a gene developing as an organism reproduces. So you don't get to keep the functional card, because without all the functional cards you have no replication and no selection.