(July 24, 2016 at 5:15 pm)Cecelia Wrote: A Trump Presidency, year by year:
Year 1: Antonin Scalia replaced with conservative justice. Clarence Thomas steps down, and is also replaced with another conservative Justice. We stop supporting our NATO allies. Drone Strikes against 'muslims' (no differential made between terrorists and muslims) Iran Deal is thrown out, along with all sorts of other trade deals that Trump doesn't like. Americans end up paying more as a result of his trade policies to 'bring manufacturing back', and manufacturing still wouldn't come back.
Year 2: Construction on border wall starts. Mexico doesn't pay for it, but America sure does. Many lawsuits filed on behalf of environmental groups as well as Native American groups.
Sometime during the four years: One or two more Supreme Court justices pass away. Trump appoints their replacements, who are conservative leaning.
Year 5: Trump is voted out of office, but Republicans have firm control over the Supreme Court. Abortion Rights are severely restricted, Gay Rights and Transgender rights are restricted (with Obergfell possibly being overturned, not to mention cases allowing gay adoptions). We're now stuck with his SCOTUS nominees for 20-30 years depending on their ages. At LEAST 3, possibly 4. With the only liberals on the court being Kagan, Sotomayor, and Breyer. (This is assuming the 77 year old Breyer lasts the 4 years, and doesn't die by age 81, in which case Kagan and Sotomayor would be the only non-conservative justices on the court). And of course Citizens United decision looks unlikely to be overturned, and an amendment appears unlikely as well.
This would be somewhat mitigated if Obama were able to select Scalia's replacement. However, Republicans are being sure to block that attempt. Meaning that our next President could select as many as 5 Supreme Court Justices (a majority). Of course that may not happen, but Thomas appears to be wanting to step down (he may choose not to if a Democrat is elected, he's only 68) , and the age of the others:
Anthony Kennedy - 80 years old (would be 84 in 2020
Ruth Bader Ginsburg - 84 years old (would be 87 in 2020)
Stephen Breyer - 77 years old (would be 82 in 2020)
Year 5?? i hope you meant 4
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