RE: Race and IQs
June 1, 2018 at 12:47 pm
(This post was last modified: June 1, 2018 at 1:24 pm by ohreally.)
(June 1, 2018 at 12:22 pm)FatAndFaithless Wrote:(June 1, 2018 at 12:14 pm)ohreally Wrote: Using your example, isn't "There is a difference in IQ between races" a claim? And the null is "There is no difference in IQ between races" ?
Yup. To prove the assertion "there is a difference in IQ between races" correct, they would have to prove the null hypothesis "there is no difference in IQ between races" false.
And if someone wanted to prove the assertion "there is no difference in IQ between races" correct, they would have to prove the null hypothesis "there IS a difference in IQ between races" false.
With either claim, you (whoever is trying to prove one or the other) does the legwork, gathers the data, calculates all the statistics, etc.
And Jorm is correct - just because someone fails to disprove the null hypothesis doesn't mean the null hypothesis is necessarily true. It just means that their efforts have not yet disproved the null hypothesis. Like if some theist is unable to prove that god exists, that doesn't support the assertion that god does NOT exist, it just means that we lack proof for the existence of a god. Or, just because I cannot disprove the null hypothesis of a number of gumballs in a jar being even, doesn't mean that the number of gumballs is actually even - we just can't prove that it's odd, right now, with the available evidence/methods.
If you could humor me or if you're bored. So can I summarize what you said as the following:
Null Hypothesis A= "There is no god" They do a test to find a god and don't find anything so the null hypothesis is not disproved yet there could still be a god.
Null Hypothesis B = "There is a god" (so what test do we do here? Exactly the same as A?) we don't find a god and disprove the null.
My thinking was that in either scenario above I'll never have evidence that there is no god, I'll just continually have no evidence there is one. And I'll never have evidence there is no relationship between IQ and race, I'll just continually have no evidence there is one.
If water rots the soles of your boots, what does it do to your intestines?