So, back of the envelope calculation time.
Current best estimate is that specifically for COVID-19, we need 40-80% with sufficient antibodies for immunity. Based on what I've read, we're an order of magnitude away from that.
As of yesterday, there were approximately 8 million confirmed cases and 215 thousand dead.
We're looking at 135-250 million cases. There's too many variables to extrapolate the current death rate (for one, we've gotten better at keeping people alive), but it's clear we're talking about a million+ deaths, not to mention long-term health impacts.
This is insanity.
Current best estimate is that specifically for COVID-19, we need 40-80% with sufficient antibodies for immunity. Based on what I've read, we're an order of magnitude away from that.
As of yesterday, there were approximately 8 million confirmed cases and 215 thousand dead.
We're looking at 135-250 million cases. There's too many variables to extrapolate the current death rate (for one, we've gotten better at keeping people alive), but it's clear we're talking about a million+ deaths, not to mention long-term health impacts.
This is insanity.
