RE: I did a little estimated calculation.
October 27, 2020 at 8:17 pm
(This post was last modified: October 27, 2020 at 8:20 pm by Brian37.)
(October 27, 2020 at 7:52 pm)BrianSoddingBoru4 Wrote:(October 27, 2020 at 7:47 pm)Brian37 Wrote: Total numbers. We cant assume all the ballot voters and early voters in swing states who have already voted are a majority democrat. Trump surely has a far more narrow path in swing states, but it is still there.
Biden is going to win the popular vote nationally, by bigger margins that Hillary, but we all know that the swing states are ultimately the only thing that matters.
Historically Republicans have had greater turnout on election day.
But why are the people who haven’t yet voted mostly democrats? There doesn’t seem to be any way to know that.
Boru
Where did I claim those who haven't voted yet are a majority Democrat? I didn't. I said I hope they will be.
And that is what gives me pause knowing that historically Republicans are better at turnout election day.
I can only hope Trump lost enough elderly and suburban women which he has managed to lose a lot this time.