(January 2, 2023 at 2:36 pm)Jehanne Wrote:(January 2, 2023 at 2:11 pm)BrianSoddingBoru4 Wrote: Who claimed he was infallible??
Boru
Yes, Clarke got some things right, but, at the same time he helped set the stage for the nutty futurism that makes me cringe whenever I come across it. Such makes for fun TV & movies, but, as I posted elsewhere in my climate thread, it's a gravely dangerous outlook.
In my opinion, physics & chemistry (and, probably, mathematics, also) are like economics, in that they are turning into very mature subjects, a trend that will continue over time; ditto for most other subjects. Some break-throughs will occur, but they will be fewer & fewer over time; most of which has been discovered is already with us. Things like controlled quantum computing or nuclear fusion are probably pipe dreams, never to be realized in practice.
Don’t discount serendipity. Investigations that never achieve their intended goals frequently lead to spin-off technologies.
For the record, your use of the phrase ‘they will likely be fewer and fewer over time’ make you sound like a futurist crank.
Boru
‘I can’t be having with this.’ - Esmeralda Weatherwax