Anything based on AI (like robotics and true self-driving cars) are notoriously difficult to predict future progress on (particularly timescales) because they are not classical engineering problems. There might be a breakthrough tomorrow or it might take 50 years.
Okay, that's probably overstating it but there is a poor understanding of what progress needs to be achieved and how long it will take to get there. There are AI algorithms which teach themselves and we have little understanding of how they got there. When we don't know how our own designs work, we have no basis to predict future progress on.
Okay, that's probably overstating it but there is a poor understanding of what progress needs to be achieved and how long it will take to get there. There are AI algorithms which teach themselves and we have little understanding of how they got there. When we don't know how our own designs work, we have no basis to predict future progress on.
Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former.
Albert Einstein
Albert Einstein
