RE: A One In An infinity Chance That God Exists. What Do You Guys Think?
June 24, 2012 at 6:29 pm
(This post was last modified: June 24, 2012 at 6:57 pm by Cato.)
(June 23, 2012 at 2:57 pm)amateurlyinsightful Wrote: Taken from askmathematician.com "If the evidence E that we have is really unlikely to have occurred given the existence of a particular god G (but not so improbable otherwise), then that will tend to make the god G less likely." The equation is God/Evidence. Evidence according to Dictionary.com is "something that makes plain or clear; an indication or sign." Therefore, the existence of God/a infinity amount of other things that created the universe is a valid probability equaling to a one in an infinity chance that there is a God http://www.askamathematician.com/2011/05...od-exists/
The author in your link was only demonstrating how one could reasonably consider the existence of god probabilistically. Your issue is not understanding that any probability requires evidence, something the author was clear about.
Until you can provide evidence for a god, assigning probability is meaningless.
(June 23, 2012 at 7:35 pm)padraic Wrote: @Cato; thank you, I almost understood that.
Does that mean we can work out the probably of sentient beings in say our galaxy? Do we have enough data?
It's been considered. The most popular version is the Drake equation:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation
Check out the criticism section. Even though we have the obvious evidence of output (us) and a thorough understanding of star and planet formation, the fact that quantifiable input must be guessed for certain terms means the output of Drake's equation tells us nothing.
