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The Monty Hall problem.
#12
RE: The Monty Hall problem.
(September 24, 2009 at 9:58 am)Eilonnwy Wrote: I'm not a big fan of statistics but visually in my head I get it.

The way I understand it is that the two doors you don't pick become a unit, so even if you know one of them has the goat, as a unit, there is still a 66% chance switching gives you the car because there was a 66% chance the goat was in one of the other two doors when you picked your door. And by revealing which of the two doors has the goat, there's still a 66% chance because there was always going to be a goat in one of those doors.

Am I understanding this correctly?

Yes, there's a 66.6..% chance that the car is in one of the two doors you didn't choose. Even when Monty gets rid of one of the doors the remaining door still has that 66.6..% chance.

It's a bit like being able to choose two of the doors instead of just the one.
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Messages In This Thread
The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - September 24, 2009 at 6:36 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Darwinian - September 24, 2009 at 7:53 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - September 24, 2009 at 7:55 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Darwinian - September 24, 2009 at 7:59 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - September 24, 2009 at 8:05 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Dotard - September 24, 2009 at 8:21 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - September 24, 2009 at 8:38 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Rockthatpiano06 - September 24, 2009 at 9:05 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Eilonnwy - September 24, 2009 at 9:58 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Darwinian - September 24, 2009 at 11:57 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by theblindferrengi - September 24, 2009 at 10:33 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Rhizomorph13 - September 24, 2009 at 11:33 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Eilonnwy - September 24, 2009 at 12:03 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - September 24, 2009 at 12:48 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Golbez - January 12, 2013 at 8:47 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Rhizomorph13 - September 24, 2009 at 1:05 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Dotard - September 24, 2009 at 2:07 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - September 24, 2009 at 2:12 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Dotard - September 24, 2009 at 2:15 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - September 24, 2009 at 2:24 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Dotard - September 24, 2009 at 2:28 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Rhizomorph13 - September 24, 2009 at 2:36 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - September 24, 2009 at 2:40 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Dotard - September 24, 2009 at 4:07 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by fr0d0 - September 24, 2009 at 4:09 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - September 24, 2009 at 4:11 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by fr0d0 - September 24, 2009 at 4:25 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Amphora - September 24, 2009 at 4:31 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Edwardo Piet - September 24, 2009 at 4:49 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Rev. Rye - January 12, 2013 at 9:07 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Anymouse - January 17, 2013 at 9:34 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Joy Squeezy - January 19, 2013 at 6:59 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - January 19, 2013 at 7:15 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Joy Squeezy - January 19, 2013 at 7:28 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Golbez - January 19, 2013 at 7:40 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Joy Squeezy - January 19, 2013 at 7:45 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Violet - January 19, 2013 at 7:56 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Golbez - January 19, 2013 at 7:58 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Whateverist - January 19, 2013 at 7:57 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Joy Squeezy - January 19, 2013 at 8:02 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Violet - January 19, 2013 at 8:20 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Joy Squeezy - January 19, 2013 at 8:23 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Golbez - January 19, 2013 at 8:37 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Anymouse - January 21, 2013 at 9:45 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Tiberius - January 19, 2013 at 9:56 pm
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Creed of Heresy - January 21, 2013 at 8:05 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by Zen Badger - January 21, 2013 at 8:34 am
RE: The Monty Hall problem. - by PyroManiac - February 26, 2013 at 11:48 am

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