RE: Pascal's Wager (the new version)
February 27, 2013 at 1:03 pm
(This post was last modified: February 27, 2013 at 1:05 pm by Mister Agenda.)
(February 27, 2013 at 3:45 am)Muslim Scholar Wrote: Hi all,
Let's start with a new old topic
Pascal's Wager
Hi yourself. Looking forward to understanding what new spin you're putting on old Pascal's Wager.
(February 27, 2013 at 3:45 am)Muslim Scholar Wrote: I"ll put the statement which I'm trying to prove first
Atheism is a very weak position to take, (Anything is better than nothing)
Good form, a welcome change from people who try to be mysterious about where they're going with their arguments.
(February 27, 2013 at 3:45 am)Muslim Scholar Wrote: P(G) is the probability of God existence (which is >0 unless you can prove that God doesn't exist)
Sure. Of course you can assign a similar term to any proposition that can't be proved false, like Alpha Centauri gives off undetectable emanations that nevertheless suppress your chances of enlightenment by 4%, which can be resistied by wearing a tinfoil hat when Alpha Centauri is visible from your part of earth. I'm not the first to point this out, I've read down-thread a bit.
(February 27, 2013 at 3:45 am)Muslim Scholar Wrote: V the value of your life
P(V) the probability of your death
Again, thanks to reading down-thread, I see you mean that you're referring to the probability of one's death in the immediate future. I don't agree that the value of one's life is inversely proportional to how much of it is left. Surely the value of a person's life must be considered in its entirety?
(February 27, 2013 at 3:45 am)Muslim Scholar Wrote: P(G)/(P(V)xV) will go to infinity as your life is coming to an end
But as you don't know when are you going to die, you should embrace a religion NOW!
Hm. That means the probability of the tinfoil hat thing being true gets greater the closer I am to dying, and approaches certainty when I'm dead. That doesn't make sense, does it? How much longer I have to live can't have an effect on the probability of the numerator in your equation.