Pascal's Wager (the new version)

[Muslim Scholar]

As Pascal asserts that if one wagers and there is no god, one has lost nothing (e.g. V(l) is always zero, and the equation can be simplified to P(g) * V(reward). Pascal, in my view, is wrong to assert that.

Pascal ignores other relevant factors (possibly a result of presupposing that there's only one god, and it's his). The probability of winning the wager is NOT simply the probability that there is a god - presumably, one much choose the correct god, one's belief must be sufficiently sincere, and one must worship correctly:

EV = (F(ce) * V(reward)) + ((1 - F(ce)) * (-V(l))

Actually it doesn't matter at all, you make many other factors and put probabilities for them
Your life will worth nothing near the end of your life i.e. =0
The probability of God (any God) will always be greater than 0

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What if the one true god's condition for sending someone to hell is because you have worshiped it?

Even that it will only reduce the probability of worshiping that God
It has no effect on the conclusion

It seems to me that this line of thinking only works if you have a specific god already in mind.

This will be the next stage, we can eliminate impossible Gods
and wage for only possible/logical Gods

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I'll take my chances.

This is exactly what am I talking about
Taking your chances means waging for a religion

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Surely the value of a person's life must be considered in its entirety?

Then it has no value at all, you will be dead so your life worth nothing (if there is no God)

That doesn't make sense, does it? How much longer I have to live can't have an effect on the probability of the numerator in your equation.

If the formula to be written correctly, it is a limit as your life goes to Zero not an equation! (I don't have a math editor to write it accurately)

Limit as L-->0
P(G)/L = Infinity

where L is your remaining life

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You're assuming our emotions are accurate. Prove it.

The proof will come in another thread
This thread is about statistics

I was just pointing that not all people convert to a religion because of a mathematical proof, many people follow their emotions