Pascal's Wager (the new version)

[CleanShavenJesus]

Muslim Scholar, you're basing a mathematical formula off of something that does a lot of assuming...sort of like believing in God.

But let's look at the second piece of your modern Wager.

(Anything is better than nothing)

There are thousands upon thousands of religions in the world history, but for the sake of argument, let's stick with the 21 major religions in the modern world. Anything is better than nothing, so you're going to choose one religion out of the twenty-one correct? Simple math tells us that only gives us a 1 in 21 chance of converting to the correct religion. But you're still assuming that there is a God...but what if there isn't? Why can't atheism be considered a belief next to the 21 major religions in this case, because it's also an opinion on the afterlife and the existence of God? If we factor atheism into this probability, that gives me a 1 out of 22 chance of converting to the correct religion. With my probability, no matter what major religion you believe in (now counting atheism as one of them), you still only have a 1in 22 chance of being part of the correct religion/ideology. Meaning that my chances are as good as yours. Neither of us has a better chance of getting it right. Because we have no knowledge and no basis to go off of. We're just shootin' in the dark. Atheism or Islam, Christian or Buddhist. Each one has the same probability of being correct - 1:22

The only way your new wager would work is if you said everything is better than nothing. That would give you a 100% chance of getting it right because you have all 22 religions covered. But unfortunately religion does not allow you to do that.