RE: rational naturalism is impossible!
October 4, 2013 at 9:38 pm
(This post was last modified: October 4, 2013 at 9:41 pm by bennyboy.)
(October 4, 2013 at 9:25 pm)Rational AKD Wrote:You don't need to know exact probabilites to know that something is highly improbable. There COULD be a Flying Spaghetti Monster orbiting Earth. But since we have no reason to believe there is one, and no evidence that points to one, and no mundane experience that gives principles that can be logically extended to the existence of one, we don't believe there is such an entity.(October 4, 2013 at 9:19 pm)Faith No More Wrote: You seem to be equating uncertainty with unreliability and failing to take into consideration that just because something is uncertain, doesn't mean we can't determine the probability of that something being true. So, while we can't be certain of something, we can somewhat determine the probability of that something being true and operate under a reasonable assumption.
how do you determine probability? you take information you have on occurrences and reoccurrences. if you are uncertain of that information, you can't determine probability. possibility must be established prior to probability, and we can't even be certain of what is possible since that requires reason.
Can't prove it. Still comfortable saying it's highly improbable.