(October 4, 2013 at 9:38 pm)bennyboy Wrote: You don't need to know exact probabilites to know that something is highly improbable. There COULD be a Flying Spaghetti Monster orbiting Earth. But since we have no reason to believe there is one, and no evidence that points to one, and no mundane experience that gives principles that can be logically extended to the existence of one, we don't believe there is such an entity.
Can't prove it. Still comfortable saying it's highly improbable.
what you are ignoring is you need to determine what is possible before you can determine what is probable. as you said "There COULD be a Flying Spaghetti Monster orbiting Earth" is a reasonable statement claiming possibility. but that's the problem, it requires reason to make such a statement. since our reason is in question according to entailments of naturalism, we can't even be sure of that much, yet alone how probable it is.
I do not feel obliged to believe that the same God who has endowed us with senses, reason, and intellect has intended us to forgo their use and by some other means to give us knowledge which we can attain by them.
-Galileo
-Galileo
